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Highest temperature in Denver on April 17?

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Highest temperature in Denver on April 17?

Apr 16

Apr 17

Apr 18

Apr 16

Apr 17

Apr 18

54°F or higher 77%

50-51°F 10%

52-53°F 7%

46-47°F 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

$29,529 Vol.

54°F or higher 77%

50-51°F 10%

52-53°F 7%

46-47°F 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

$29,529 Vol.

35°F or below

$7,542 Vol.

1%

36-37°F

$4,847 Vol.

1%

38-39°F

$3,640 Vol.

1%

40-41°F

$1,434 Vol.

1%

42-43°F

$1,733 Vol.

1%

44-45°F

$2,145 Vol.

1%

46-47°F

$1,100 Vol.

1%

48-49°F

$1,005 Vol.

1%

50-51°F

$1,876 Vol.

10%

52-53°F

$1,592 Vol.

7%

54°F or higher

$2,693 Vol.

77%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Boulder office project highs around the mid-50s°F in the Denver area on April 17, ahead of a strong cold front arriving Friday evening, positioning the 54°F or higher outcome at 76.5% market-implied probability as trader consensus. This reflects model ensemble agreement on pre-frontal warming and daytime insolation overcoming partial cloud cover, despite departure from early April's record heat exceeding 90°F and seasonal normals near 62°F at Buckley Space Force Base—the official resolution station via Wunderground observations. Recent cooling trends stem from shifting upper-air patterns funneling cooler air southward, with a Freeze Watch underscoring evening lows near freezing but minimal impact on daytime peaks. Key uncertainties include front timing and cloud evolution; watch 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates for potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,529
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Boulder office project highs around the mid-50s°F in the Denver area on April 17, ahead of a strong cold front arriving Friday evening, positioning the 54°F or higher outcome at 76.5% market-implied probability as trader consensus. This reflects model ensemble agreement on pre-frontal warming and daytime insolation overcoming partial cloud cover, despite departure from early April's record heat exceeding 90°F and seasonal normals near 62°F at Buckley Space Force Base—the official resolution station via Wunderground observations. Recent cooling trends stem from shifting upper-air patterns funneling cooler air southward, with a Freeze Watch underscoring evening lows near freezing but minimal impact on daytime peaks. Key uncertainties include front timing and cloud evolution; watch 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates for potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,529
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Denver on April 17?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "54°F or higher" at 77%, followed by "50-51°F" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Denver on April 17?" has generated $29.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Denver on April 17?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Denver on April 17?" is "54°F or higher" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-51°F" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Denver on April 17?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.