Official National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded a maximum temperature of 54°F on April 25, 2026, at 3:32 PM local time, confirming the market-implied 100% probability for 59°F or below as reported via Weather Underground's Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF) station data. Persistent cloud cover, gusty breezes from a recent cool frontal passage, and scattered showers limited solar heating and daytime warming, aligning with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting mid-50s highs after earlier April warmth like 84°F on April 21. This positioning reflects verified measurements from authoritative stations, with traders' skin-in-the-game consensus showing negligible volume on higher outcomes. Only an improbable post-processing data revision by NWS quality control—rare for well-monitored sites—could challenge resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 25?
59°F or below 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$69,638 Vol.
$69,638 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
59°F or below
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
59°F or below 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$69,638 Vol.
$69,638 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
59°F or below
$16,223 Vol.
Yes
60-61°F
$8,491 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$7,765 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$10,416 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$9,100 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$9,106 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$4,537 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$985 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,091 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$555 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$1,369 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded a maximum temperature of 54°F on April 25, 2026, at 3:32 PM local time, confirming the market-implied 100% probability for 59°F or below as reported via Weather Underground's Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF) station data. Persistent cloud cover, gusty breezes from a recent cool frontal passage, and scattered showers limited solar heating and daytime warming, aligning with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting mid-50s highs after earlier April warmth like 84°F on April 21. This positioning reflects verified measurements from authoritative stations, with traders' skin-in-the-game consensus showing negligible volume on higher outcomes. Only an improbable post-processing data revision by NWS quality control—rare for well-monitored sites—could challenge resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$69,638End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded a maximum temperature of 54°F on April 25, 2026, at 3:32 PM local time, confirming the market-implied 100% probability for 59°F or below as reported via Weather Underground's Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF) station data. Persistent cloud cover, gusty breezes from a recent cool frontal passage, and scattered showers limited solar heating and daytime warming, aligning with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting mid-50s highs after earlier April warmth like 84°F on April 21. This positioning reflects verified measurements from authoritative stations, with traders' skin-in-the-game consensus showing negligible volume on higher outcomes. Only an improbable post-processing data revision by NWS quality control—rare for well-monitored sites—could challenge resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$69,638End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded a maximum temperature of 54°F on April 25, 2026, at 3:32 PM local time, confirming the market-implied 100% probability for 59°F or below as reported via Weather Underground's Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF) station data. Persistent cloud cover, gusty breezes from a recent cool frontal passage, and scattered showers limited solar heating and daytime warming, aligning with NOAA forecast model consensus predicting mid-50s highs after earlier April warmth like 84°F on April 21. This positioning reflects verified measurements from authoritative stations, with traders' skin-in-the-game consensus showing negligible volume on higher outcomes. Only an improbable post-processing data revision by NWS quality control—rare for well-monitored sites—could challenge resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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