National Weather Service Boulder/Denver forecasts a high of 58°F for Denver on April 29 amid a spring storm system ushering cooler air masses, increased cloud cover, and a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 56°F or higher. Early morning observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) logged temperatures near 38°F under mostly cloudy skies, with diurnal heating expected to push peaks despite precipitation risks, aligning with model consensus from NOAA guidance. Historical April 29 normals average 64°F, contextualizing the below-normal outlook. Realistic challenges include persistent heavy showers or a strengthening cold front capping temperatures below 56°F, though current trends and forecast stability make this unlikely; monitor hourly KDEN reports through evening for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 29?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$114,809 Vol.
$114,809 Vol.
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$114,809 Vol.
$114,809 Vol.
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service Boulder/Denver forecasts a high of 58°F for Denver on April 29 amid a spring storm system ushering cooler air masses, increased cloud cover, and a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 56°F or higher. Early morning observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) logged temperatures near 38°F under mostly cloudy skies, with diurnal heating expected to push peaks despite precipitation risks, aligning with model consensus from NOAA guidance. Historical April 29 normals average 64°F, contextualizing the below-normal outlook. Realistic challenges include persistent heavy showers or a strengthening cold front capping temperatures below 56°F, though current trends and forecast stability make this unlikely; monitor hourly KDEN reports through evening for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions