Market-implied odds for 38°C reflect the convergence of official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models showing Guangzhou’s daily maximum will reach that threshold under subtropical early-June conditions. High humidity, light northeasterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies have allowed temperatures to climb steadily toward the observed peak, consistent with regional climatology for the Pearl River Delta. Chinese meteorological services and neighboring agency guidance have aligned on this value, leaving little room for alternative outcomes on resolution day. Only an unforeseen late-day cooling front or station-specific measurement variance would alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 3?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 3?
38°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$95,574 Vol.
$95,574 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$95,574 Vol.
$95,574 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
29°C or below
$324 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,744 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,591 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,016 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,265 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,664 Vol.
No
35°C
$10,060 Vol.
No
36°C
$12,449 Vol.
No
37°C
$8,436 Vol.
No
38°C
$13,938 Vol.
Yes
39°C or higher
$38,088 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds for 38°C reflect the convergence of official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models showing Guangzhou’s daily maximum will reach that threshold under subtropical early-June conditions. High humidity, light northeasterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies have allowed temperatures to climb steadily toward the observed peak, consistent with regional climatology for the Pearl River Delta. Chinese meteorological services and neighboring agency guidance have aligned on this value, leaving little room for alternative outcomes on resolution day. Only an unforeseen late-day cooling front or station-specific measurement variance would alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$95,574End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds for 38°C reflect the convergence of official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models showing Guangzhou’s daily maximum will reach that threshold under subtropical early-June conditions. High humidity, light northeasterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies have allowed temperatures to climb steadily toward the observed peak, consistent with regional climatology for the Pearl River Delta. Chinese meteorological services and neighboring agency guidance have aligned on this value, leaving little room for alternative outcomes on resolution day. Only an unforeseen late-day cooling front or station-specific measurement variance would alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95,574End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Market-implied odds for 38°C reflect the convergence of official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models showing Guangzhou’s daily maximum will reach that threshold under subtropical early-June conditions. High humidity, light northeasterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies have allowed temperatures to climb steadily toward the observed peak, consistent with regional climatology for the Pearl River Delta. Chinese meteorological services and neighboring agency guidance have aligned on this value, leaving little room for alternative outcomes on resolution day. Only an unforeseen late-day cooling front or station-specific measurement variance would alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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