Latest ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Helsinki on June 18, driving the market's strong clustering around the 21–23°C outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. These projections reflect typical early-summer Baltic Sea moderation, with light winds and partial cloud cover limiting stronger diurnal heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent model runs show tight agreement on peak values without major shifts from prior days, though any afternoon clearing or delayed sea breeze could nudge readings slightly higher. Official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa or city stations will determine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on June 18?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$72,487 Vol.
$72,487 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$72,487 Vol.
$72,487 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 1:20 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Helsinki on June 18, driving the market's strong clustering around the 21–23°C outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. These projections reflect typical early-summer Baltic Sea moderation, with light winds and partial cloud cover limiting stronger diurnal heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent model runs show tight agreement on peak values without major shifts from prior days, though any afternoon clearing or delayed sea breeze could nudge readings slightly higher. Official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa or city stations will determine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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