Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 92–95°F bins for Houston’s June 23 high because National Weather Service forecasts project afternoon maxima in the low to mid-90s under ongoing summer heat and elevated humidity. Afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce key uncertainty: convective clouds or rain-cooled air could limit peaks near 92–93°F, while clearer intervals might allow brief warming toward 94–95°F or slightly higher. Recent moisture influx after earlier tropical activity sustains high dew points, elevating heat indices but also supporting scattered storms that historically modulate daily maxima by several degrees in the region.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on June 23?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 23?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$26,522 Vol.
$26,522 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$26,522 Vol.
$26,522 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
83°F or below
$192 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$218 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$468 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,537 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$9,015 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$5,264 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$4,475 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$3,136 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,567 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$649 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$1 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 92–95°F bins for Houston’s June 23 high because National Weather Service forecasts project afternoon maxima in the low to mid-90s under ongoing summer heat and elevated humidity. Afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce key uncertainty: convective clouds or rain-cooled air could limit peaks near 92–93°F, while clearer intervals might allow brief warming toward 94–95°F or slightly higher. Recent moisture influx after earlier tropical activity sustains high dew points, elevating heat indices but also supporting scattered storms that historically modulate daily maxima by several degrees in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volume
$26,522End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 92–95°F bins for Houston’s June 23 high because National Weather Service forecasts project afternoon maxima in the low to mid-90s under ongoing summer heat and elevated humidity. Afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce key uncertainty: convective clouds or rain-cooled air could limit peaks near 92–93°F, while clearer intervals might allow brief warming toward 94–95°F or slightly higher. Recent moisture influx after earlier tropical activity sustains high dew points, elevating heat indices but also supporting scattered storms that historically modulate daily maxima by several degrees in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,522End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 92–95°F bins for Houston’s June 23 high because National Weather Service forecasts project afternoon maxima in the low to mid-90s under ongoing summer heat and elevated humidity. Afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce key uncertainty: convective clouds or rain-cooled air could limit peaks near 92–93°F, while clearer intervals might allow brief warming toward 94–95°F or slightly higher. Recent moisture influx after earlier tropical activity sustains high dew points, elevating heat indices but also supporting scattered storms that historically modulate daily maxima by several degrees in the region.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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