Current meteorological conditions and short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate typical mid-August warmth across Shandong province, with Jinan expected to reach daytime highs near 30–34°C on August 11 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Historical climatology shows average August maxima around 29–32°C, rarely dipping below 26°C absent a strong cold front or widespread precipitation, which recent guidance does not support. This consensus underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 26°C or higher. A rapid shift in steering flow bringing cooler maritime air or unforecast heavy showers could lower maxima, though such developments remain low-probability given the current pattern stability and proximity to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 11?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 11?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
16°C or below
$725 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$715 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,006 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$799 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,240 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions and short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate typical mid-August warmth across Shandong province, with Jinan expected to reach daytime highs near 30–34°C on August 11 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Historical climatology shows average August maxima around 29–32°C, rarely dipping below 26°C absent a strong cold front or widespread precipitation, which recent guidance does not support. This consensus underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 26°C or higher. A rapid shift in steering flow bringing cooler maritime air or unforecast heavy showers could lower maxima, though such developments remain low-probability given the current pattern stability and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,712End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions and short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate typical mid-August warmth across Shandong province, with Jinan expected to reach daytime highs near 30–34°C on August 11 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Historical climatology shows average August maxima around 29–32°C, rarely dipping below 26°C absent a strong cold front or widespread precipitation, which recent guidance does not support. This consensus underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 26°C or higher. A rapid shift in steering flow bringing cooler maritime air or unforecast heavy showers could lower maxima, though such developments remain low-probability given the current pattern stability and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,712End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological conditions and short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate typical mid-August warmth across Shandong province, with Jinan expected to reach daytime highs near 30–34°C on August 11 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Historical climatology shows average August maxima around 29–32°C, rarely dipping below 26°C absent a strong cold front or widespread precipitation, which recent guidance does not support. This consensus underpins the market's near-certain pricing for 26°C or higher. A rapid shift in steering flow bringing cooler maritime air or unforecast heavy showers could lower maxima, though such developments remain low-probability given the current pattern stability and proximity to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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