Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on April 20?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 20?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$38,213 Vol.
$38,213 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$38,213 Vol.
$38,213 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
25°C or below
$1,218 Vol.
No
26°C
$882 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,175 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,593 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,921 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,898 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,394 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,038 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,936 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,012 Vol.
Yes
35°C or higher
$5,147 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$38,213End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,213End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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