Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show a moderating marine layer and onshore flow expected to limit the June 25 high in coastal Los Angeles to the low-to-mid 70s, with sea breezes and patchy fog suppressing peak temperatures despite broader regional warming. This setup aligns with typical early-summer climatology, where the Pacific high and cool ocean waters often cap coastal readings several degrees below inland valleys. Recent model runs reveal limited spread around 70–73°F thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. An El Niño-enhanced subtropical ridge provides slight upward pressure, yet traders appear to weigh the persistent coastal stratus and historical June averages near 73–78°F when pricing the tight 70–73°F cluster. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning soundings will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 25?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 25?
72-73°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$195,159 Vol.
$195,159 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$195,159 Vol.
$195,159 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
59°F or below
$48,658 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$9,754 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$15,291 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$7,252 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$7,234 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$26,322 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$38,122 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$19,569 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$9,917 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$5,739 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$7,300 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show a moderating marine layer and onshore flow expected to limit the June 25 high in coastal Los Angeles to the low-to-mid 70s, with sea breezes and patchy fog suppressing peak temperatures despite broader regional warming. This setup aligns with typical early-summer climatology, where the Pacific high and cool ocean waters often cap coastal readings several degrees below inland valleys. Recent model runs reveal limited spread around 70–73°F thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. An El Niño-enhanced subtropical ridge provides slight upward pressure, yet traders appear to weigh the persistent coastal stratus and historical June averages near 73–78°F when pricing the tight 70–73°F cluster. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning soundings will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$195,159End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show a moderating marine layer and onshore flow expected to limit the June 25 high in coastal Los Angeles to the low-to-mid 70s, with sea breezes and patchy fog suppressing peak temperatures despite broader regional warming. This setup aligns with typical early-summer climatology, where the Pacific high and cool ocean waters often cap coastal readings several degrees below inland valleys. Recent model runs reveal limited spread around 70–73°F thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. An El Niño-enhanced subtropical ridge provides slight upward pressure, yet traders appear to weigh the persistent coastal stratus and historical June averages near 73–78°F when pricing the tight 70–73°F cluster. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning soundings will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$195,159End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show a moderating marine layer and onshore flow expected to limit the June 25 high in coastal Los Angeles to the low-to-mid 70s, with sea breezes and patchy fog suppressing peak temperatures despite broader regional warming. This setup aligns with typical early-summer climatology, where the Pacific high and cool ocean waters often cap coastal readings several degrees below inland valleys. Recent model runs reveal limited spread around 70–73°F thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. An El Niño-enhanced subtropical ridge provides slight upward pressure, yet traders appear to weigh the persistent coastal stratus and historical June averages near 73–78°F when pricing the tight 70–73°F cluster. Updated NWS point forecasts and morning soundings will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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