Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 36°C (31.5%) and 35°C (28%) as the highest temperature in Lucknow on March 29, mirroring tight uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid persistent dry, clear skies fostering strong daytime radiative heating. Recent observations logged a March 28 maximum of around 35°C, with subsiding western disturbances allowing pre-monsoon warming but no extreme heatwave signals to drive 37°C+ outcomes (13.5% or less). Historical late-March norms hover at 34-36°C, though model ensembles like GFS show slight spread due to potential afternoon clouding or gusts capping peaks. Key watch: IMD's daily bulletin and satellite imagery updates, which could refine diurnal highs before evening cooldown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 29?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 29?
36°C 32%
35°C 28%
34°C or below 14%
37°C 14%
34°C or below
14%
35°C
28%
36°C
32%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 32%
35°C 28%
34°C or below 14%
37°C 14%
34°C or below
14%
35°C
28%
36°C
32%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 36°C (31.5%) and 35°C (28%) as the highest temperature in Lucknow on March 29, mirroring tight uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid persistent dry, clear skies fostering strong daytime radiative heating. Recent observations logged a March 28 maximum of around 35°C, with subsiding western disturbances allowing pre-monsoon warming but no extreme heatwave signals to drive 37°C+ outcomes (13.5% or less). Historical late-March norms hover at 34-36°C, though model ensembles like GFS show slight spread due to potential afternoon clouding or gusts capping peaks. Key watch: IMD's daily bulletin and satellite imagery updates, which could refine diurnal highs before evening cooldown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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