Trader consensus favors 33-36°C for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting 34-36°C amid persistent clear skies, dry northerly winds, and an early-season heat buildup over Uttar Pradesh. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly, with the 33°C outcome (29.5%) gaining traction from potential afternoon cloud fragments reducing solar insolation, while 35-36°C odds (21.0% and 13.5%) reflect urban heat island amplification in Lucknow and minimal soil moisture inhibiting cooling. Historical March highs average 32-34°C, but recent satellite data shows 2-3°C above-normal anomalies, heightening uncertainty until IMD's evening update resolves model spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 27?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 27?
33°C 30%
34°C 28%
35°C 21%
36°C 13%
32°C or below
8%
33°C
30%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
33°C 30%
34°C 28%
35°C 21%
36°C 13%
32°C or below
8%
33°C
30%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 33-36°C for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting 34-36°C amid persistent clear skies, dry northerly winds, and an early-season heat buildup over Uttar Pradesh. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly, with the 33°C outcome (29.5%) gaining traction from potential afternoon cloud fragments reducing solar insolation, while 35-36°C odds (21.0% and 13.5%) reflect urban heat island amplification in Lucknow and minimal soil moisture inhibiting cooling. Historical March highs average 32-34°C, but recent satellite data shows 2-3°C above-normal anomalies, heightening uncertainty until IMD's evening update resolves model spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions