Traders heavily favor 35°C (39.5%) and 36°C (31.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 34-37°C under persistent clear skies and low humidity, boosting solar insolation. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from 33°C mid-week amid dry northwesterly winds suppressing clouds, aligning with historical late-March norms of 32-35°C but elevated by a high-pressure ridge. Differentiating factors include peak afternoon radiation—sustained clarity past 2 PM could push to 36°C via urban heat island effects in Lucknow, while minor cirrus cover or southerly breezes might cap at 35°C, per ECMWF and GFS model ensembles showing tight spreads. Resolution hinges on official IMD airport readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 40%
36°C 33%
34°C or below 22%
37°C 4.2%
$60,551 Vol.
$60,551 Vol.
34°C or below
22%
35°C
40%
36°C
33%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
36°C 33%
34°C or below 22%
37°C 4.2%
$60,551 Vol.
$60,551 Vol.
34°C or below
22%
35°C
40%
36°C
33%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor 35°C (39.5%) and 36°C (31.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 34-37°C under persistent clear skies and low humidity, boosting solar insolation. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from 33°C mid-week amid dry northwesterly winds suppressing clouds, aligning with historical late-March norms of 32-35°C but elevated by a high-pressure ridge. Differentiating factors include peak afternoon radiation—sustained clarity past 2 PM could push to 36°C via urban heat island effects in Lucknow, while minor cirrus cover or southerly breezes might cap at 35°C, per ECMWF and GFS model ensembles showing tight spreads. Resolution hinges on official IMD airport readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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