Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AEMET and European ensembles point to peak temperatures in Madrid on June 24 likely falling between 38–40 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating. Consensus among runs shows afternoon maxima near 39 °C as the most probable outcome, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis could push readings to 38 °C or allow a brief spike to 40 °C. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, traders are weighing the latest model guidance against typical late-June climatology of 30–36 °C highs while noting limited upside beyond 41 °C given current steering patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on June 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 24?
39°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$167,345 Vol.
$167,345 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$167,345 Vol.
$167,345 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
35°C or below
$10,566 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,826 Vol.
No
37°C
$21,807 Vol.
No
38°C
$69,983 Vol.
No
39°C
$20,813 Vol.
Yes
40°C
$12,928 Vol.
No
41°C
$15,962 Vol.
No
42°C
$5,812 Vol.
No
43°C
$1,012 Vol.
No
44°C
$348 Vol.
No
45°C or higher
$288 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AEMET and European ensembles point to peak temperatures in Madrid on June 24 likely falling between 38–40 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating. Consensus among runs shows afternoon maxima near 39 °C as the most probable outcome, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis could push readings to 38 °C or allow a brief spike to 40 °C. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, traders are weighing the latest model guidance against typical late-June climatology of 30–36 °C highs while noting limited upside beyond 41 °C given current steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$167,345End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AEMET and European ensembles point to peak temperatures in Madrid on June 24 likely falling between 38–40 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating. Consensus among runs shows afternoon maxima near 39 °C as the most probable outcome, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis could push readings to 38 °C or allow a brief spike to 40 °C. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, traders are weighing the latest model guidance against typical late-June climatology of 30–36 °C highs while noting limited upside beyond 41 °C given current steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$167,345End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AEMET and European ensembles point to peak temperatures in Madrid on June 24 likely falling between 38–40 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating. Consensus among runs shows afternoon maxima near 39 °C as the most probable outcome, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis could push readings to 38 °C or allow a brief spike to 40 °C. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, traders are weighing the latest model guidance against typical late-June climatology of 30–36 °C highs while noting limited upside beyond 41 °C given current steering patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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