Trader consensus for the Manila highest temperature market on May 19 has aligned overwhelmingly on 32°C or higher, driven by official observations confirming daytime maxima well above this threshold amid typical late-spring conditions. Manila’s tropical location experiences peak solar heating in May during the transition from the northeast monsoon, with long-term records from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration showing mean highs of 33–35°C and frequent exceedances of 32°C. These patterns, reinforced by recent regional temperature data, leave little room for lower outcomes under current atmospheric stability. Only an unusual surge in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or measurement revision from the primary station could shift the result, though no such developments have been indicated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on May 19?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 19?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,300 Vol.
$1,300 Vol.
May 19, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,300 Vol.
$1,300 Vol.
May 19, 2026
22°C or below
$64 Vol.
No
23°C
$42 Vol.
No
24°C
$42 Vol.
No
25°C
$10 Vol.
No
26°C
$10 Vol.
No
27°C
$10 Vol.
No
28°C
$10 Vol.
No
29°C
$20 Vol.
No
30°C
$20 Vol.
No
31°C
$97 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$975 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus for the Manila highest temperature market on May 19 has aligned overwhelmingly on 32°C or higher, driven by official observations confirming daytime maxima well above this threshold amid typical late-spring conditions. Manila’s tropical location experiences peak solar heating in May during the transition from the northeast monsoon, with long-term records from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration showing mean highs of 33–35°C and frequent exceedances of 32°C. These patterns, reinforced by recent regional temperature data, leave little room for lower outcomes under current atmospheric stability. Only an unusual surge in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or measurement revision from the primary station could shift the result, though no such developments have been indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volume
$1,300End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus for the Manila highest temperature market on May 19 has aligned overwhelmingly on 32°C or higher, driven by official observations confirming daytime maxima well above this threshold amid typical late-spring conditions. Manila’s tropical location experiences peak solar heating in May during the transition from the northeast monsoon, with long-term records from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration showing mean highs of 33–35°C and frequent exceedances of 32°C. These patterns, reinforced by recent regional temperature data, leave little room for lower outcomes under current atmospheric stability. Only an unusual surge in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or measurement revision from the primary station could shift the result, though no such developments have been indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,300End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus for the Manila highest temperature market on May 19 has aligned overwhelmingly on 32°C or higher, driven by official observations confirming daytime maxima well above this threshold amid typical late-spring conditions. Manila’s tropical location experiences peak solar heating in May during the transition from the northeast monsoon, with long-term records from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration showing mean highs of 33–35°C and frequent exceedances of 32°C. These patterns, reinforced by recent regional temperature data, leave little room for lower outcomes under current atmospheric stability. Only an unusual surge in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or measurement revision from the primary station could shift the result, though no such developments have been indicated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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