Official National Weather Service observations confirm a daily maximum of 95°F at Miami International Airport on June 16, 2026, recorded at 2:11 p.m. EDT under typical early-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and abundant sunshine that favor strong daytime heating. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the upper 80s to low 90s°F, occasionally spiking higher during brief periods of suppressed convection. Market consensus consolidated rapidly once preliminary readings and model guidance converged on the upper range, leaving negligible implied probability for other bins. Only an unreported data revision from the NWS climatological summary or a station-specific anomaly could alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on June 16?
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$58,578 Vol.
$58,578 Vol.
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$58,578 Vol.
$58,578 Vol.
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations confirm a daily maximum of 95°F at Miami International Airport on June 16, 2026, recorded at 2:11 p.m. EDT under typical early-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and abundant sunshine that favor strong daytime heating. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the upper 80s to low 90s°F, occasionally spiking higher during brief periods of suppressed convection. Market consensus consolidated rapidly once preliminary readings and model guidance converged on the upper range, leaving negligible implied probability for other bins. Only an unreported data revision from the NWS climatological summary or a station-specific anomaly could alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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