Recent official forecasts from sources including the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a high of 32–34 °C for Milan on September 6 under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's clustering around 31–33 °C. A gradual cooling trend from the 34 °C peaks recorded on September 4–5, combined with increasing low-level moisture and possible afternoon cloud build-up, is positioning 32 °C as the consensus outcome while leaving room for 31 °C if boundary-layer mixing is limited. Historical September averages near 22 °C provide context for the current anomalous warmth driven by persistent high pressure. Traders will monitor updated ensemble runs and official station data from the Italian Meteorological Service ahead of the Sunday resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 6?
32°C 47%
31°C 29%
33°C 13%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
29%
32°C
47%
33°C
13%
34°C
10%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 47%
31°C 29%
33°C 13%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$83 Vol.
29%
32°C
$98 Vol.
47%
33°C
$5 Vol.
13%
34°C
$6 Vol.
10%
35°C
$11 Vol.
5%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a high of 32–34 °C for Milan on September 6 under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's clustering around 31–33 °C. A gradual cooling trend from the 34 °C peaks recorded on September 4–5, combined with increasing low-level moisture and possible afternoon cloud build-up, is positioning 32 °C as the consensus outcome while leaving room for 31 °C if boundary-layer mixing is limited. Historical September averages near 22 °C provide context for the current anomalous warmth driven by persistent high pressure. Traders will monitor updated ensemble runs and official station data from the Italian Meteorological Service ahead of the Sunday resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$203End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a high of 32–34 °C for Milan on September 6 under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's clustering around 31–33 °C. A gradual cooling trend from the 34 °C peaks recorded on September 4–5, combined with increasing low-level moisture and possible afternoon cloud build-up, is positioning 32 °C as the consensus outcome while leaving room for 31 °C if boundary-layer mixing is limited. Historical September averages near 22 °C provide context for the current anomalous warmth driven by persistent high pressure. Traders will monitor updated ensemble runs and official station data from the Italian Meteorological Service ahead of the Sunday resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$203End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a high of 32–34 °C for Milan on September 6 under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's clustering around 31–33 °C. A gradual cooling trend from the 34 °C peaks recorded on September 4–5, combined with increasing low-level moisture and possible afternoon cloud build-up, is positioning 32 °C as the consensus outcome while leaving room for 31 °C if boundary-layer mixing is limited. Historical September averages near 22 °C provide context for the current anomalous warmth driven by persistent high pressure. Traders will monitor updated ensemble runs and official station data from the Italian Meteorological Service ahead of the Sunday resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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