Official observations from Sheremetyevo International Airport, a key meteorological station for Moscow, recorded a high temperature of exactly 25°C (77°F) on May 4, 2026, at around 5:30 PM local time under clear skies with westerly winds at 15.7 mph and low humidity of 30%. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter predicting daytime highs of 23–25°C amid a ridge of high pressure bringing unseasonably warm conditions, surpassing typical early May averages of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this confirmed data as ground truth for market resolution criteria, which prioritize official station measurements. Revisions are improbable barring rare data corrections from central observatories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on May 4?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 4?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$67,382 Vol.
$67,382 Vol.
May 4, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$67,382 Vol.
$67,382 Vol.
May 4, 2026
17°C or below
$2,086 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,224 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,667 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,878 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,392 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,335 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,115 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,267 Vol.
No
25°C
$15,290 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$9,307 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$13,820 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Sheremetyevo International Airport, a key meteorological station for Moscow, recorded a high temperature of exactly 25°C (77°F) on May 4, 2026, at around 5:30 PM local time under clear skies with westerly winds at 15.7 mph and low humidity of 30%. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter predicting daytime highs of 23–25°C amid a ridge of high pressure bringing unseasonably warm conditions, surpassing typical early May averages of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this confirmed data as ground truth for market resolution criteria, which prioritize official station measurements. Revisions are improbable barring rare data corrections from central observatories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$67,382End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Sheremetyevo International Airport, a key meteorological station for Moscow, recorded a high temperature of exactly 25°C (77°F) on May 4, 2026, at around 5:30 PM local time under clear skies with westerly winds at 15.7 mph and low humidity of 30%. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter predicting daytime highs of 23–25°C amid a ridge of high pressure bringing unseasonably warm conditions, surpassing typical early May averages of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this confirmed data as ground truth for market resolution criteria, which prioritize official station measurements. Revisions are improbable barring rare data corrections from central observatories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67,382End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Sheremetyevo International Airport, a key meteorological station for Moscow, recorded a high temperature of exactly 25°C (77°F) on May 4, 2026, at around 5:30 PM local time under clear skies with westerly winds at 15.7 mph and low humidity of 30%. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter predicting daytime highs of 23–25°C amid a ridge of high pressure bringing unseasonably warm conditions, surpassing typical early May averages of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this confirmed data as ground truth for market resolution criteria, which prioritize official station measurements. Revisions are improbable barring rare data corrections from central observatories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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