The market's near-certain positioning on 94-95°F stems from the official National Weather Service daily climate report for Central Park, which recorded a maximum of that exact range under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly flow on June 12. This outcome aligned with model consensus from prior days showing strong warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, pushing temperatures 12–15°F above the June climatological average of ~81°F. High dew points in the upper 60s amplified the heat index, though dry conditions prevented convective cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision to the preliminary NWS data or an unforeseen measurement anomaly at the official station, both of which are rare once the climatological summary is finalized. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects high confidence in these verified observations over forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on June 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 12?
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$188,770 Vol.
$188,770 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$188,770 Vol.
$188,770 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
81°F or below
$14,811 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$10,032 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$17,134 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$15,961 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$25,777 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$30,955 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$17,025 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$19,676 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$19,304 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$8,622 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$9,472 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain positioning on 94-95°F stems from the official National Weather Service daily climate report for Central Park, which recorded a maximum of that exact range under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly flow on June 12. This outcome aligned with model consensus from prior days showing strong warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, pushing temperatures 12–15°F above the June climatological average of ~81°F. High dew points in the upper 60s amplified the heat index, though dry conditions prevented convective cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision to the preliminary NWS data or an unforeseen measurement anomaly at the official station, both of which are rare once the climatological summary is finalized. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects high confidence in these verified observations over forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$188,770End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain positioning on 94-95°F stems from the official National Weather Service daily climate report for Central Park, which recorded a maximum of that exact range under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly flow on June 12. This outcome aligned with model consensus from prior days showing strong warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, pushing temperatures 12–15°F above the June climatological average of ~81°F. High dew points in the upper 60s amplified the heat index, though dry conditions prevented convective cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision to the preliminary NWS data or an unforeseen measurement anomaly at the official station, both of which are rare once the climatological summary is finalized. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects high confidence in these verified observations over forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$188,770End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's near-certain positioning on 94-95°F stems from the official National Weather Service daily climate report for Central Park, which recorded a maximum of that exact range under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly flow on June 12. This outcome aligned with model consensus from prior days showing strong warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, pushing temperatures 12–15°F above the June climatological average of ~81°F. High dew points in the upper 60s amplified the heat index, though dry conditions prevented convective cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision to the preliminary NWS data or an unforeseen measurement anomaly at the official station, both of which are rare once the climatological summary is finalized. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects high confidence in these verified observations over forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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