Current forecast guidance and August climatology position Panama City's afternoon maximum near 32 °C, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around 31–33 °C due to typical rainy-season variability. Trade-wind moisture, diurnal convection, and intermittent cloud cover or showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone—create small but decisive differences in realized peak temperature. Historical records show highs rarely exceed 34 °C, while model consensus and recent analogs favor values within the narrow 31–33 °C envelope. Traders weigh the latest regional model runs and satellite trends on timing of any afternoon instability against the narrow historical distribution, keeping the three leading outcomes closely matched ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 20?
32°C 34%
33°C 28%
31°C 26%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
26%
32°C
34%
33°C
28%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 28%
31°C 26%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
6%
30°C
$11 Vol.
11%
31°C
$5 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
34%
33°C
$0 Vol.
28%
34°C
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance and August climatology position Panama City's afternoon maximum near 32 °C, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around 31–33 °C due to typical rainy-season variability. Trade-wind moisture, diurnal convection, and intermittent cloud cover or showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone—create small but decisive differences in realized peak temperature. Historical records show highs rarely exceed 34 °C, while model consensus and recent analogs favor values within the narrow 31–33 °C envelope. Traders weigh the latest regional model runs and satellite trends on timing of any afternoon instability against the narrow historical distribution, keeping the three leading outcomes closely matched ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$26End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance and August climatology position Panama City's afternoon maximum near 32 °C, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around 31–33 °C due to typical rainy-season variability. Trade-wind moisture, diurnal convection, and intermittent cloud cover or showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone—create small but decisive differences in realized peak temperature. Historical records show highs rarely exceed 34 °C, while model consensus and recent analogs favor values within the narrow 31–33 °C envelope. Traders weigh the latest regional model runs and satellite trends on timing of any afternoon instability against the narrow historical distribution, keeping the three leading outcomes closely matched ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance and August climatology position Panama City's afternoon maximum near 32 °C, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around 31–33 °C due to typical rainy-season variability. Trade-wind moisture, diurnal convection, and intermittent cloud cover or showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone—create small but decisive differences in realized peak temperature. Historical records show highs rarely exceed 34 °C, while model consensus and recent analogs favor values within the narrow 31–33 °C envelope. Traders weigh the latest regional model runs and satellite trends on timing of any afternoon instability against the narrow historical distribution, keeping the three leading outcomes closely matched ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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