Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a high near 93°F for Denver on August 20, supported by above-normal temperatures persisting from earlier August heat and a warm high-pressure pattern, with scattered thunderstorms possible that could limit peak readings if clouds increase. Historical August averages near 87–89°F provide context, yet recent model runs favor the 92–95°F range as the most likely outcome given current steering flow and limited cooling influences. Trader consensus aligns with these projections, assigning over 70% implied probability to the 92–95°F bins while discounting extremes above 97°F due to typical late-summer variability and precipitation chances. Updated NWS briefings and model ensembles in the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could shift positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 20?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 20?
94-95°F 42%
92-93°F 40%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
42%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 42%
92-93°F 40%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
83°F or below
$21 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$202 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$36 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$40 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$21 Vol.
13%
92-93°F
$89 Vol.
40%
94-95°F
$23 Vol.
42%
96-97°F
$114 Vol.
10%
98-99°F
$66 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$23 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a high near 93°F for Denver on August 20, supported by above-normal temperatures persisting from earlier August heat and a warm high-pressure pattern, with scattered thunderstorms possible that could limit peak readings if clouds increase. Historical August averages near 87–89°F provide context, yet recent model runs favor the 92–95°F range as the most likely outcome given current steering flow and limited cooling influences. Trader consensus aligns with these projections, assigning over 70% implied probability to the 92–95°F bins while discounting extremes above 97°F due to typical late-summer variability and precipitation chances. Updated NWS briefings and model ensembles in the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$522End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a high near 93°F for Denver on August 20, supported by above-normal temperatures persisting from earlier August heat and a warm high-pressure pattern, with scattered thunderstorms possible that could limit peak readings if clouds increase. Historical August averages near 87–89°F provide context, yet recent model runs favor the 92–95°F range as the most likely outcome given current steering flow and limited cooling influences. Trader consensus aligns with these projections, assigning over 70% implied probability to the 92–95°F bins while discounting extremes above 97°F due to typical late-summer variability and precipitation chances. Updated NWS briefings and model ensembles in the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$522End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a high near 93°F for Denver on August 20, supported by above-normal temperatures persisting from earlier August heat and a warm high-pressure pattern, with scattered thunderstorms possible that could limit peak readings if clouds increase. Historical August averages near 87–89°F provide context, yet recent model runs favor the 92–95°F range as the most likely outcome given current steering flow and limited cooling influences. Trader consensus aligns with these projections, assigning over 70% implied probability to the 92–95°F bins while discounting extremes above 97°F due to typical late-summer variability and precipitation chances. Updated NWS briefings and model ensembles in the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could shift positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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