**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 15, 2026, reflecting official observations of a daily maximum near the seasonal average.** Early wet-season patterns featured scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover that limited further warming, consistent with historical June maxima clustering between 29–32°C from local meteorological records. Forecasts from regional services aligned closely with this range, and no anomalous heat or clear-sky persistence pushed readings higher. The 99.8% implied probability accounts for minor measurement uncertainty or rounding at official stations, while outcomes at 32°C or above remain improbable without unexpected subsidence or stronger insolation. New data releases confirming the exact peak would finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 15?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$22,059 Vol.
$22,059 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$22,059 Vol.
$22,059 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
$213 Vol.
No
26°C
$213 Vol.
No
27°C
$389 Vol.
No
28°C
$556 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,916 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,033 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,238 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$2,744 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,250 Vol.
No
34°C
$706 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$801 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 15, 2026, reflecting official observations of a daily maximum near the seasonal average.** Early wet-season patterns featured scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover that limited further warming, consistent with historical June maxima clustering between 29–32°C from local meteorological records. Forecasts from regional services aligned closely with this range, and no anomalous heat or clear-sky persistence pushed readings higher. The 99.8% implied probability accounts for minor measurement uncertainty or rounding at official stations, while outcomes at 32°C or above remain improbable without unexpected subsidence or stronger insolation. New data releases confirming the exact peak would finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$22,059End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 15, 2026, reflecting official observations of a daily maximum near the seasonal average.** Early wet-season patterns featured scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover that limited further warming, consistent with historical June maxima clustering between 29–32°C from local meteorological records. Forecasts from regional services aligned closely with this range, and no anomalous heat or clear-sky persistence pushed readings higher. The 99.8% implied probability accounts for minor measurement uncertainty or rounding at official stations, while outcomes at 32°C or above remain improbable without unexpected subsidence or stronger insolation. New data releases confirming the exact peak would finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,059End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 15, 2026, reflecting official observations of a daily maximum near the seasonal average.** Early wet-season patterns featured scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover that limited further warming, consistent with historical June maxima clustering between 29–32°C from local meteorological records. Forecasts from regional services aligned closely with this range, and no anomalous heat or clear-sky persistence pushed readings higher. The 99.8% implied probability accounts for minor measurement uncertainty or rounding at official stations, while outcomes at 32°C or above remain improbable without unexpected subsidence or stronger insolation. New data releases confirming the exact peak would finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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