Latest Météo-France short-range guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Paris highs clustering around 18–19°C on April 16 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds enhancing afternoon boundary layer heating, driving trader-implied probabilities of 39.5% for 18°C and 33.5% for 19°C. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF HRES leans cooler at 17–18°C due to potential mid-afternoon high clouds reducing insolation, while GFS runs warmer toward 19–20°C with clearer conditions; historical April variability adds uncertainty near climatological norms of 16°C. Watch tonight's 00z model updates and early April 16 observations for peak temperature confirmation before typical 14–16h max.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 16?
18°C 40%
19°C 33%
17°C 14%
20°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
14%
18°C
40%
19°C
33%
20°C
12%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 40%
19°C 33%
17°C 14%
20°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 16, 2026
13°C or below
$740 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$842 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$522 Vol.
1%
16°C
$258 Vol.
3%
17°C
$720 Vol.
14%
18°C
$292 Vol.
40%
19°C
$346 Vol.
33%
20°C
$262 Vol.
12%
21°C
$228 Vol.
5%
22°C
$185 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$343 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France short-range guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Paris highs clustering around 18–19°C on April 16 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds enhancing afternoon boundary layer heating, driving trader-implied probabilities of 39.5% for 18°C and 33.5% for 19°C. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF HRES leans cooler at 17–18°C due to potential mid-afternoon high clouds reducing insolation, while GFS runs warmer toward 19–20°C with clearer conditions; historical April variability adds uncertainty near climatological norms of 16°C. Watch tonight's 00z model updates and early April 16 observations for peak temperature confirmation before typical 14–16h max.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$4,322End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France short-range guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Paris highs clustering around 18–19°C on April 16 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds enhancing afternoon boundary layer heating, driving trader-implied probabilities of 39.5% for 18°C and 33.5% for 19°C. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF HRES leans cooler at 17–18°C due to potential mid-afternoon high clouds reducing insolation, while GFS runs warmer toward 19–20°C with clearer conditions; historical April variability adds uncertainty near climatological norms of 16°C. Watch tonight's 00z model updates and early April 16 observations for peak temperature confirmation before typical 14–16h max.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,322End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France short-range guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Paris highs clustering around 18–19°C on April 16 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds enhancing afternoon boundary layer heating, driving trader-implied probabilities of 39.5% for 18°C and 33.5% for 19°C. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF HRES leans cooler at 17–18°C due to potential mid-afternoon high clouds reducing insolation, while GFS runs warmer toward 19–20°C with clearer conditions; historical April variability adds uncertainty near climatological norms of 16°C. Watch tonight's 00z model updates and early April 16 observations for peak temperature confirmation before typical 14–16h max.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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