Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on May 10, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official hourly observations peaking at that level mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 7-10 m/s that limited solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and METAR reports confirm no exceedance, aligning with forecast models predicting 19-23°C highs under a weak high-pressure ridge and increasing cloud cover preventing further intensification. Historical May climatology supports this, with mid-month average highs around 22°C. Resolution awaits final CMA bulletin, but revision is improbable barring measurement anomalies; a late clear-sky burst or data correction could theoretically shift it higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 10?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 10?
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$81,466 Vol.
$81,466 Vol.
May 10, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$81,466 Vol.
$81,466 Vol.
May 10, 2026
21°C or below
$14,423 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,931 Vol.
No
23°C
$33,663 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$8,186 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,058 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,025 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,196 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,622 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,112 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,984 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$1,266 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on May 10, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official hourly observations peaking at that level mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 7-10 m/s that limited solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and METAR reports confirm no exceedance, aligning with forecast models predicting 19-23°C highs under a weak high-pressure ridge and increasing cloud cover preventing further intensification. Historical May climatology supports this, with mid-month average highs around 22°C. Resolution awaits final CMA bulletin, but revision is improbable barring measurement anomalies; a late clear-sky burst or data correction could theoretically shift it higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$81,466End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on May 10, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official hourly observations peaking at that level mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 7-10 m/s that limited solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and METAR reports confirm no exceedance, aligning with forecast models predicting 19-23°C highs under a weak high-pressure ridge and increasing cloud cover preventing further intensification. Historical May climatology supports this, with mid-month average highs around 22°C. Resolution awaits final CMA bulletin, but revision is improbable barring measurement anomalies; a late clear-sky burst or data correction could theoretically shift it higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$81,466End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on May 10, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official hourly observations peaking at that level mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 7-10 m/s that limited solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and METAR reports confirm no exceedance, aligning with forecast models predicting 19-23°C highs under a weak high-pressure ridge and increasing cloud cover preventing further intensification. Historical May climatology supports this, with mid-month average highs around 22°C. Resolution awaits final CMA bulletin, but revision is improbable barring measurement anomalies; a late clear-sky burst or data correction could theoretically shift it higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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