Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned global models indicate Seoul's daytime maximum will reach exactly 29°C on June 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and typical early-summer insolation in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average highs hover near 26–28°C before rising later in the month, and current observational data through the afternoon confirm temperatures tracking toward but not beyond that threshold. The near-100% market-implied odds reflect strong consensus on these conditions holding through the evening observation window. A sudden increase in cloud cover or unforecast precipitation could cap readings lower, while stronger solar heating or advection of warmer air would be required to push into the low 30s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$294,629 Vol.
$294,629 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$294,629 Vol.
$294,629 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
22°C or below
$7,003 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,725 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,060 Vol.
No
25°C
$27,815 Vol.
No
26°C
$37,099 Vol.
No
27°C
$36,181 Vol.
No
28°C
$33,332 Vol.
No
29°C
$37,366 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$39,682 Vol.
No
31°C
$26,156 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$37,211 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned global models indicate Seoul's daytime maximum will reach exactly 29°C on June 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and typical early-summer insolation in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average highs hover near 26–28°C before rising later in the month, and current observational data through the afternoon confirm temperatures tracking toward but not beyond that threshold. The near-100% market-implied odds reflect strong consensus on these conditions holding through the evening observation window. A sudden increase in cloud cover or unforecast precipitation could cap readings lower, while stronger solar heating or advection of warmer air would be required to push into the low 30s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$294,629End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned global models indicate Seoul's daytime maximum will reach exactly 29°C on June 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and typical early-summer insolation in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average highs hover near 26–28°C before rising later in the month, and current observational data through the afternoon confirm temperatures tracking toward but not beyond that threshold. The near-100% market-implied odds reflect strong consensus on these conditions holding through the evening observation window. A sudden increase in cloud cover or unforecast precipitation could cap readings lower, while stronger solar heating or advection of warmer air would be required to push into the low 30s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$294,629End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned global models indicate Seoul's daytime maximum will reach exactly 29°C on June 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and typical early-summer insolation in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average highs hover near 26–28°C before rising later in the month, and current observational data through the afternoon confirm temperatures tracking toward but not beyond that threshold. The near-100% market-implied odds reflect strong consensus on these conditions holding through the evening observation window. A sudden increase in cloud cover or unforecast precipitation could cap readings lower, while stronger solar heating or advection of warmer air would be required to push into the low 30s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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