Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul’s June 28 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Variability stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, all of which can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology for late June shows a mean daily maximum near 28 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution simulations expected over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 28?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$181,341 Vol.
$181,341 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$181,341 Vol.
$181,341 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
21°C or below
$2,104 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,563 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,427 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,583 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,105 Vol.
No
26°C
$24,870 Vol.
No
27°C
$41,240 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$37,351 Vol.
No
29°C
$21,365 Vol.
No
30°C
$16,715 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$13,017 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul’s June 28 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Variability stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, all of which can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology for late June shows a mean daily maximum near 28 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution simulations expected over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$181,341End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul’s June 28 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Variability stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, all of which can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology for late June shows a mean daily maximum near 28 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution simulations expected over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$181,341End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul’s June 28 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Variability stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, all of which can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology for late June shows a mean daily maximum near 28 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution simulations expected over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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