Persistent cloud cover and high humidity during Shanghai's Meiyu plum rain season have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature at 24°C according to official observations. Reduced solar insolation from widespread stratiform clouds and scattered light showers, typical of the East Asian monsoon transition, has prevented temperatures from exceeding this threshold despite seasonal norms around 27°C. This alignment of atmospheric conditions and real-time meteorological data underpins the market's complete consensus. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or stronger southerly flow enhancing warm advection could realistically push readings higher before the observation period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$125,957 Vol.
$125,957 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$125,957 Vol.
$125,957 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
$552 Vol.
No
22°C
$19,258 Vol.
No
23°C
$18,759 Vol.
No
24°C
$25,186 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$16,515 Vol.
No
26°C
$14,909 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,837 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,749 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,809 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,517 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$1,868 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and high humidity during Shanghai's Meiyu plum rain season have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature at 24°C according to official observations. Reduced solar insolation from widespread stratiform clouds and scattered light showers, typical of the East Asian monsoon transition, has prevented temperatures from exceeding this threshold despite seasonal norms around 27°C. This alignment of atmospheric conditions and real-time meteorological data underpins the market's complete consensus. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or stronger southerly flow enhancing warm advection could realistically push readings higher before the observation period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$125,957End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and high humidity during Shanghai's Meiyu plum rain season have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature at 24°C according to official observations. Reduced solar insolation from widespread stratiform clouds and scattered light showers, typical of the East Asian monsoon transition, has prevented temperatures from exceeding this threshold despite seasonal norms around 27°C. This alignment of atmospheric conditions and real-time meteorological data underpins the market's complete consensus. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or stronger southerly flow enhancing warm advection could realistically push readings higher before the observation period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125,957End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Persistent cloud cover and high humidity during Shanghai's Meiyu plum rain season have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature at 24°C according to official observations. Reduced solar insolation from widespread stratiform clouds and scattered light showers, typical of the East Asian monsoon transition, has prevented temperatures from exceeding this threshold despite seasonal norms around 27°C. This alignment of atmospheric conditions and real-time meteorological data underpins the market's complete consensus. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or stronger southerly flow enhancing warm advection could realistically push readings higher before the observation period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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