Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature today at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, reflecting confirmed observational data from the station peaking at 31°C during afternoon hours around 2 PM local time, amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Subtropical atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly winds and urban heat island effects, aligned with China Meteorological Administration model forecasts predicting highs of 30-31°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima typically range 26-28°C but can spike under light cloud cover. As sunset has passed and temperatures now hover around 27°C with cooling nocturnal boundary layer, further increases are improbable; only a rare post-official data revision from sensor recalibration could challenge this near-certain resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 22?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 22?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$109,683 Vol.
$109,683 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$109,683 Vol.
$109,683 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
22°C or below
$3,413 Vol.
No
23°C
$937 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,624 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,001 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,624 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,097 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,277 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,126 Vol.
No
30°C
$20,184 Vol.
No
31°C
$19,774 Vol.
Yes
32°C or higher
$17,624 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature today at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, reflecting confirmed observational data from the station peaking at 31°C during afternoon hours around 2 PM local time, amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Subtropical atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly winds and urban heat island effects, aligned with China Meteorological Administration model forecasts predicting highs of 30-31°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima typically range 26-28°C but can spike under light cloud cover. As sunset has passed and temperatures now hover around 27°C with cooling nocturnal boundary layer, further increases are improbable; only a rare post-official data revision from sensor recalibration could challenge this near-certain resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Volume
$109,683End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:44 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature today at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, reflecting confirmed observational data from the station peaking at 31°C during afternoon hours around 2 PM local time, amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Subtropical atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly winds and urban heat island effects, aligned with China Meteorological Administration model forecasts predicting highs of 30-31°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima typically range 26-28°C but can spike under light cloud cover. As sunset has passed and temperatures now hover around 27°C with cooling nocturnal boundary layer, further increases are improbable; only a rare post-official data revision from sensor recalibration could challenge this near-certain resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$109,683End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:44 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature today at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, reflecting confirmed observational data from the station peaking at 31°C during afternoon hours around 2 PM local time, amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Subtropical atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly winds and urban heat island effects, aligned with China Meteorological Administration model forecasts predicting highs of 30-31°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima typically range 26-28°C but can spike under light cloud cover. As sunset has passed and temperatures now hover around 27°C with cooling nocturnal boundary layer, further increases are improbable; only a rare post-official data revision from sensor recalibration could challenge this near-certain resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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