Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies position 27–28°C as the most likely daily maximum for Shenzhen on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating. These conditions stem from a strengthening monsoon trough and subtropical moisture, suppressing typical June peaks near 30–31°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential through the afternoon, with official observations likely to confirm a peak in this narrow range by evening. Traders weigh this against historical June variability, where brief clear spells can add 1–2°C, though current data releases favor the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 18?
26°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$158,803 Vol.
$158,803 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$158,803 Vol.
$158,803 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
25°C or below
$259 Vol.
No
26°C
$60,424 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$32,067 Vol.
No
28°C
$20,459 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,412 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,652 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,717 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,344 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,050 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,288 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$3,131 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies position 27–28°C as the most likely daily maximum for Shenzhen on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating. These conditions stem from a strengthening monsoon trough and subtropical moisture, suppressing typical June peaks near 30–31°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential through the afternoon, with official observations likely to confirm a peak in this narrow range by evening. Traders weigh this against historical June variability, where brief clear spells can add 1–2°C, though current data releases favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$158,803End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies position 27–28°C as the most likely daily maximum for Shenzhen on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating. These conditions stem from a strengthening monsoon trough and subtropical moisture, suppressing typical June peaks near 30–31°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential through the afternoon, with official observations likely to confirm a peak in this narrow range by evening. Traders weigh this against historical June variability, where brief clear spells can add 1–2°C, though current data releases favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$158,803End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies position 27–28°C as the most likely daily maximum for Shenzhen on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating. These conditions stem from a strengthening monsoon trough and subtropical moisture, suppressing typical June peaks near 30–31°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential through the afternoon, with official observations likely to confirm a peak in this narrow range by evening. Traders weigh this against historical June variability, where brief clear spells can add 1–2°C, though current data releases favor the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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