Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate daytime highs near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on June 20 under typical early-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity, scattered convection, and partial cloud cover limiting peak solar heating. These factors create tight clustering around those values, as thunderstorms can suppress maxima through evaporative cooling while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Climatological averages for mid-June hover near 30–31°C, and the absence of strong synoptic systems or typhoon influences keeps extremes unlikely. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and instability, directly influencing trader adjustments between the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 20?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$111,327 Vol.
$111,327 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$111,327 Vol.
$111,327 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate daytime highs near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on June 20 under typical early-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity, scattered convection, and partial cloud cover limiting peak solar heating. These factors create tight clustering around those values, as thunderstorms can suppress maxima through evaporative cooling while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Climatological averages for mid-June hover near 30–31°C, and the absence of strong synoptic systems or typhoon influences keeps extremes unlikely. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and instability, directly influencing trader adjustments between the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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