Recent meteorological guidance for Shenzhen points to a highest temperature near 32–33°C on June 21, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that can limit afternoon heating. Official forecasts cluster in this narrow range because of persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover that suppresses peaks relative to clearer climatological analogs, while occasional breaks of sun could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Model consensus remains moderate given the short lead time and potential for localized convection, leaving traders weighting the 31–33°C outcomes most heavily as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 21?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$93,001 Vol.
$93,001 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$93,001 Vol.
$93,001 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological guidance for Shenzhen points to a highest temperature near 32–33°C on June 21, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that can limit afternoon heating. Official forecasts cluster in this narrow range because of persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover that suppresses peaks relative to clearer climatological analogs, while occasional breaks of sun could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Model consensus remains moderate given the short lead time and potential for localized convection, leaving traders weighting the 31–33°C outcomes most heavily as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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