Strong subtropical high pressure combined with clear skies and urban heat-island effects has pushed official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models toward a daily maximum of 37 °C or higher at Taipei Songshan station on June 2. This setup explains the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Early-June climatology typically features highs of 31–33 °C, making the current anomalous heat episode stand out. Modest uncertainty lingers around the precise timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap readings at 34–36 °C if showers develop earlier than modeled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 2?
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$168,731 Vol.
$168,731 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
Yes
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$168,731 Vol.
$168,731 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
27°C or below
$381 Vol.
No
28°C
$386 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,533 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,371 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,911 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,559 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,322 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,725 Vol.
No
35°C
$9,813 Vol.
No
36°C
$51,328 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$82,401 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong subtropical high pressure combined with clear skies and urban heat-island effects has pushed official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models toward a daily maximum of 37 °C or higher at Taipei Songshan station on June 2. This setup explains the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Early-June climatology typically features highs of 31–33 °C, making the current anomalous heat episode stand out. Modest uncertainty lingers around the precise timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap readings at 34–36 °C if showers develop earlier than modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$168,731End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong subtropical high pressure combined with clear skies and urban heat-island effects has pushed official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models toward a daily maximum of 37 °C or higher at Taipei Songshan station on June 2. This setup explains the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Early-June climatology typically features highs of 31–33 °C, making the current anomalous heat episode stand out. Modest uncertainty lingers around the precise timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap readings at 34–36 °C if showers develop earlier than modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$168,731End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Strong subtropical high pressure combined with clear skies and urban heat-island effects has pushed official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models toward a daily maximum of 37 °C or higher at Taipei Songshan station on June 2. This setup explains the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Early-June climatology typically features highs of 31–33 °C, making the current anomalous heat episode stand out. Modest uncertainty lingers around the precise timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap readings at 34–36 °C if showers develop earlier than modeled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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