Recent forecast guidance and observational data from regional meteorological models support a daily maximum of 31°C in Tel Aviv on June 9, driving the overwhelming market consensus at that level. June climatology typically features highs near 28–30°C along the Mediterranean coast, with intensification possible under a strengthening upper-level ridge and reduced sea-breeze influence. Resolution hinges on official Israeli Meteorological Service readings, where small variations in timing or local wind patterns could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs through the afternoon will provide the final calibration before market settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 9?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$36,861 Vol.
$36,861 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$36,861 Vol.
$36,861 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast guidance and observational data from regional meteorological models support a daily maximum of 31°C in Tel Aviv on June 9, driving the overwhelming market consensus at that level. June climatology typically features highs near 28–30°C along the Mediterranean coast, with intensification possible under a strengthening upper-level ridge and reduced sea-breeze influence. Resolution hinges on official Israeli Meteorological Service readings, where small variations in timing or local wind patterns could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs through the afternoon will provide the final calibration before market settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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