Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 9?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$67,824 Vol.
$67,824 Vol.
May 9, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$67,824 Vol.
$67,824 Vol.
May 9, 2026
9°C or below
$2,368 Vol.
No
10°C
$3,217 Vol.
No
11°C
$6,080 Vol.
No
12°C
$10,988 Vol.
No
13°C
$8,793 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,823 Vol.
No
15°C
$6,722 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$7,354 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,889 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,073 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$3,517 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$67,824End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67,824End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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