Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 20?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 20?
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$138,883 Vol.
$138,883 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$138,883 Vol.
$138,883 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
14°C or below
$1,213 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,418 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,685 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,336 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,950 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,828 Vol.
No
20°C
$13,117 Vol.
No
21°C
$13,677 Vol.
No
22°C
$16,158 Vol.
No
23°C
$52,108 Vol.
Yes
24°C or higher
$28,393 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$138,883End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$138,883End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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