Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 16?
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$54,611 Vol.
$54,611 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$54,611 Vol.
$54,611 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
31°C or below
$490 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,016 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,095 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,182 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,670 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,706 Vol.
No
37°C
$16,328 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$9,610 Vol.
No
39°C
$9,624 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,697 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$1,194 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$54,611End Date
Jul 16, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,611End Date
Jul 16, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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