Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project Wuhan's July 20 maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and isolated shower chances, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for the 33°C and 34°C-or-higher brackets. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically supports highs in the 32–35°C range, though boundary-layer humidity, timing of any convective clouds, and precise steering of warm air masses introduce spread across ensemble runs. Recent short-range updates have kept consensus anchored near these values rather than the monthly climatological potential for 35°C-plus episodes, with traders monitoring final model iterations and official station observations through the weekend for resolution signals on the exact daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 20?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 20?
34°C or higher 45%
33°C 36%
32°C 15%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
15%
33°C
36%
34°C or higher
45%
34°C or higher 45%
33°C 36%
32°C 15%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
24°C or below
$306 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,452 Vol.
1%
28°C
$637 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$899 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$181 Vol.
1%
31°C
$286 Vol.
3%
32°C
$456 Vol.
15%
33°C
$1,474 Vol.
36%
34°C or higher
$2,369 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project Wuhan's July 20 maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and isolated shower chances, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for the 33°C and 34°C-or-higher brackets. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically supports highs in the 32–35°C range, though boundary-layer humidity, timing of any convective clouds, and precise steering of warm air masses introduce spread across ensemble runs. Recent short-range updates have kept consensus anchored near these values rather than the monthly climatological potential for 35°C-plus episodes, with traders monitoring final model iterations and official station observations through the weekend for resolution signals on the exact daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$8,551End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project Wuhan's July 20 maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and isolated shower chances, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for the 33°C and 34°C-or-higher brackets. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically supports highs in the 32–35°C range, though boundary-layer humidity, timing of any convective clouds, and precise steering of warm air masses introduce spread across ensemble runs. Recent short-range updates have kept consensus anchored near these values rather than the monthly climatological potential for 35°C-plus episodes, with traders monitoring final model iterations and official station observations through the weekend for resolution signals on the exact daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,551End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project Wuhan's July 20 maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and isolated shower chances, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for the 33°C and 34°C-or-higher brackets. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically supports highs in the 32–35°C range, though boundary-layer humidity, timing of any convective clouds, and precise steering of warm air masses introduce spread across ensemble runs. Recent short-range updates have kept consensus anchored near these values rather than the monthly climatological potential for 35°C-plus episodes, with traders monitoring final model iterations and official station observations through the weekend for resolution signals on the exact daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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