Trader consensus clusters tightly around 21-24°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 27, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s amid a persistent spring warm spell. Late-March historical averages hover at 17-19°C, but southerly winds and reduced cloud cover from a departing high-pressure ridge are elevating projections 3-5°C above norms. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS leaning warmer toward 24°C via stronger boundary-layer mixing, versus ECMWF's cooler 21-22°C bias—and urban heat island amplification in Wuhan, where 1°C variances hinge on peak solar insolation and afternoon convection. Watch CMA's next update for resolution-shifting refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
23°C 24%
22°C 23%
21°C 19%
24°C 15%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
13%
21°C
23%
22°C
23%
23°C
24%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
7%
23°C 24%
22°C 23%
21°C 19%
24°C 15%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
13%
21°C
23%
22°C
23%
23°C
24%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 21-24°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 27, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s amid a persistent spring warm spell. Late-March historical averages hover at 17-19°C, but southerly winds and reduced cloud cover from a departing high-pressure ridge are elevating projections 3-5°C above norms. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS leaning warmer toward 24°C via stronger boundary-layer mixing, versus ECMWF's cooler 21-22°C bias—and urban heat island amplification in Wuhan, where 1°C variances hinge on peak solar insolation and afternoon convection. Watch CMA's next update for resolution-shifting refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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