Latest meteorological guidance from regional models and official Chinese weather services has converged on a daily maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on May 23, driving the market’s near-certain pricing on that outcome. Afternoon conditions featuring modest cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm activity are expected to limit further heating, consistent with the subtropical ridge’s influence and typical May climatology around 30°C. The Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station serves as the official measurement point, where urban heat-island effects add only minor upward bias. Any shift in steering winds or convective timing could still allow a brief excursion to 30°C or higher before resolution, underscoring residual forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 23?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 23?
29°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,595 Vol.
$36,595 Vol.
May 23, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,595 Vol.
$36,595 Vol.
May 23, 2026
28°C or below
$3,078 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,945 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$8,105 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,786 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,996 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,325 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,358 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,257 Vol.
No
36°C
$960 Vol.
No
37°C
$452 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$332 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological guidance from regional models and official Chinese weather services has converged on a daily maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on May 23, driving the market’s near-certain pricing on that outcome. Afternoon conditions featuring modest cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm activity are expected to limit further heating, consistent with the subtropical ridge’s influence and typical May climatology around 30°C. The Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station serves as the official measurement point, where urban heat-island effects add only minor upward bias. Any shift in steering winds or convective timing could still allow a brief excursion to 30°C or higher before resolution, underscoring residual forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Volume
$36,595End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological guidance from regional models and official Chinese weather services has converged on a daily maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on May 23, driving the market’s near-certain pricing on that outcome. Afternoon conditions featuring modest cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm activity are expected to limit further heating, consistent with the subtropical ridge’s influence and typical May climatology around 30°C. The Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station serves as the official measurement point, where urban heat-island effects add only minor upward bias. Any shift in steering winds or convective timing could still allow a brief excursion to 30°C or higher before resolution, underscoring residual forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,595End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest meteorological guidance from regional models and official Chinese weather services has converged on a daily maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on May 23, driving the market’s near-certain pricing on that outcome. Afternoon conditions featuring modest cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm activity are expected to limit further heating, consistent with the subtropical ridge’s influence and typical May climatology around 30°C. The Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station serves as the official measurement point, where urban heat-island effects add only minor upward bias. Any shift in steering winds or convective timing could still allow a brief excursion to 30°C or higher before resolution, underscoring residual forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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