Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies Mi Hazánk will secure third place in Hungary's next parliamentary election, with 84% probability driven by consistent national polls showing it at 8-10% support, well ahead of rivals amid a fragmented opposition. Péter Magyar's TISZA party has surged to second place—polling around 25-30%—following its strong June 2024 European Parliament performance and recent anticorruption momentum, squeezing left-wing parties like MSZP (around 5-6%) and smaller groups such as Momentum, LMP, and DK. Mi Hazánk benefits from nationalist voter consolidation disillusioned with Fidesz-KDNP's dominance. No snap election is scheduled; the vote is set for spring 2026 under Hungary's mixed proportional system, with upcoming local by-elections and protest dynamics as potential catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 84%
Momentum 2.6%
Fidesz-KDNP 1.4%
LMP 1.1%
$13,566 Vol.
$13,566 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
84%
Momentum
3%
Fidesz-KDNP
1%
LMP
1%
MSZP
6%
DK
1%
Párbeszéd
1%
TISZA
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Mi Hazánk 84%
Momentum 2.6%
Fidesz-KDNP 1.4%
LMP 1.1%
$13,566 Vol.
$13,566 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
$8,401 Vol.
84%
Momentum
$925 Vol.
3%
Fidesz-KDNP
$631 Vol.
1%
LMP
$674 Vol.
1%
MSZP
$582 Vol.
6%
DK
$634 Vol.
1%
Párbeszéd
$602 Vol.
1%
TISZA
$595 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$523 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies Mi Hazánk will secure third place in Hungary's next parliamentary election, with 84% probability driven by consistent national polls showing it at 8-10% support, well ahead of rivals amid a fragmented opposition. Péter Magyar's TISZA party has surged to second place—polling around 25-30%—following its strong June 2024 European Parliament performance and recent anticorruption momentum, squeezing left-wing parties like MSZP (around 5-6%) and smaller groups such as Momentum, LMP, and DK. Mi Hazánk benefits from nationalist voter consolidation disillusioned with Fidesz-KDNP's dominance. No snap election is scheduled; the vote is set for spring 2026 under Hungary's mixed proportional system, with upcoming local by-elections and protest dynamics as potential catalysts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volume
$13,566End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies Mi Hazánk will secure third place in Hungary's next parliamentary election, with 84% probability driven by consistent national polls showing it at 8-10% support, well ahead of rivals amid a fragmented opposition. Péter Magyar's TISZA party has surged to second place—polling around 25-30%—following its strong June 2024 European Parliament performance and recent anticorruption momentum, squeezing left-wing parties like MSZP (around 5-6%) and smaller groups such as Momentum, LMP, and DK. Mi Hazánk benefits from nationalist voter consolidation disillusioned with Fidesz-KDNP's dominance. No snap election is scheduled; the vote is set for spring 2026 under Hungary's mixed proportional system, with upcoming local by-elections and protest dynamics as potential catalysts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Volume
$13,566End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies Mi Hazánk will secure third place in Hungary's next parliamentary election, with 84% probability driven by consistent national polls showing it at 8-10% support, well ahead of rivals amid a fragmented opposition. Péter Magyar's TISZA party has surged to second place—polling around 25-30%—following its strong June 2024 European Parliament performance and recent anticorruption momentum, squeezing left-wing parties like MSZP (around 5-6%) and smaller groups such as Momentum, LMP, and DK. Mi Hazánk benefits from nationalist voter consolidation disillusioned with Fidesz-KDNP's dominance. No snap election is scheduled; the vote is set for spring 2026 under Hungary's mixed proportional system, with upcoming local by-elections and protest dynamics as potential catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRelated
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
65%
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
66%
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
76%
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