Republican holds an 82% implied probability in this open-seat 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial contest, reflecting Kentucky’s consistent Republican advantage in federal and most statewide voting patterns since the mid-2010s. Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear is barred by term limits from seeking a third consecutive term, removing the popular two-term officeholder who had previously outperformed the state’s partisan baseline. Early Democratic primary polling shows Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman leading former state House leader Rocky Adkins, while Republican interest centers on figures such as Rep. James Comer and Secretary of State Michael Adams. With primaries scheduled for May 2027 and the general election in November, traders view the absence of an incumbent Democrat and the state’s underlying electoral math as the dominant factors sustaining the current party-price gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2027
Republican
82%
Democrat
15%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2027
Republican
$2,130 Vol.
82%
Democrat
$147 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican holds an 82% implied probability in this open-seat 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial contest, reflecting Kentucky’s consistent Republican advantage in federal and most statewide voting patterns since the mid-2010s. Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear is barred by term limits from seeking a third consecutive term, removing the popular two-term officeholder who had previously outperformed the state’s partisan baseline. Early Democratic primary polling shows Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman leading former state House leader Rocky Adkins, while Republican interest centers on figures such as Rep. James Comer and Secretary of State Michael Adams. With primaries scheduled for May 2027 and the general election in November, traders view the absence of an incumbent Democrat and the state’s underlying electoral math as the dominant factors sustaining the current party-price gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$2,277End Date
Nov 3, 2027Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican holds an 82% implied probability in this open-seat 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial contest, reflecting Kentucky’s consistent Republican advantage in federal and most statewide voting patterns since the mid-2010s. Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear is barred by term limits from seeking a third consecutive term, removing the popular two-term officeholder who had previously outperformed the state’s partisan baseline. Early Democratic primary polling shows Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman leading former state House leader Rocky Adkins, while Republican interest centers on figures such as Rep. James Comer and Secretary of State Michael Adams. With primaries scheduled for May 2027 and the general election in November, traders view the absence of an incumbent Democrat and the state’s underlying electoral math as the dominant factors sustaining the current party-price gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,277End Date
Nov 3, 2027Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Republican holds an 82% implied probability in this open-seat 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial contest, reflecting Kentucky’s consistent Republican advantage in federal and most statewide voting patterns since the mid-2010s. Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear is barred by term limits from seeking a third consecutive term, removing the popular two-term officeholder who had previously outperformed the state’s partisan baseline. Early Democratic primary polling shows Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman leading former state House leader Rocky Adkins, while Republican interest centers on figures such as Rep. James Comer and Secretary of State Michael Adams. With primaries scheduled for May 2027 and the general election in November, traders view the absence of an incumbent Democrat and the state’s underlying electoral math as the dominant factors sustaining the current party-price gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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