**Short-range forecasts for Hong Kong on June 23, 2026, consistently point to overnight lows near 28°C amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers and high humidity.** AccuWeather and local outlooks show daily ranges of roughly 28–33°C, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal assessment of above-normal temperatures for June–August. These conditions reflect climatological baselines (June average low ~26–27°C) plus urban heat retention and southeasterly flow, keeping minima from dipping much lower unless an unexpected trough enhances cooling. The leading 28°C (39.5%) and 29°C (29.0%) outcomes capture this model consensus, while lower-probability extremes like 23°C or below (24.0%) would require atypical radiative cooling or stronger northerly influences not currently indicated. Updated numerical guidance and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 23?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 23?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$45,556 Vol.
$45,556 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$45,556 Vol.
$45,556 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
23°C or below
$539 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,195 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,318 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,814 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,159 Vol.
No
28°C
$20,766 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$10,081 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,379 Vol.
No
31°C
$771 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,081 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$454 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Short-range forecasts for Hong Kong on June 23, 2026, consistently point to overnight lows near 28°C amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers and high humidity.**
AccuWeather and local outlooks show daily ranges of roughly 28–33°C, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal assessment of above-normal temperatures for June–August. These conditions reflect climatological baselines (June average low ~26–27°C) plus urban heat retention and southeasterly flow, keeping minima from dipping much lower unless an unexpected trough enhances cooling. The leading 28°C (39.5%) and 29°C (29.0%) outcomes capture this model consensus, while lower-probability extremes like 23°C or below (24.0%) would require atypical radiative cooling or stronger northerly influences not currently indicated. Updated numerical guidance and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$45,556End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Short-range forecasts for Hong Kong on June 23, 2026, consistently point to overnight lows near 28°C amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers and high humidity.**
AccuWeather and local outlooks show daily ranges of roughly 28–33°C, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal assessment of above-normal temperatures for June–August. These conditions reflect climatological baselines (June average low ~26–27°C) plus urban heat retention and southeasterly flow, keeping minima from dipping much lower unless an unexpected trough enhances cooling. The leading 28°C (39.5%) and 29°C (29.0%) outcomes capture this model consensus, while lower-probability extremes like 23°C or below (24.0%) would require atypical radiative cooling or stronger northerly influences not currently indicated. Updated numerical guidance and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,556End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Short-range forecasts for Hong Kong on June 23, 2026, consistently point to overnight lows near 28°C amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers and high humidity.** AccuWeather and local outlooks show daily ranges of roughly 28–33°C, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal assessment of above-normal temperatures for June–August. These conditions reflect climatological baselines (June average low ~26–27°C) plus urban heat retention and southeasterly flow, keeping minima from dipping much lower unless an unexpected trough enhances cooling. The leading 28°C (39.5%) and 29°C (29.0%) outcomes capture this model consensus, while lower-probability extremes like 23°C or below (24.0%) would require atypical radiative cooling or stronger northerly influences not currently indicated. Updated numerical guidance and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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