Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C in London on June 3, underpinning the overwhelming market consensus at this level. Early June climatology shows typical overnight lows near 12–13°C amid a cooling trend driven by a southward-shifting jet stream that has introduced fresher Atlantic air after recent warmer conditions. Model consensus supports stable overnight readings without significant further drops, consistent with seasonal baselines and recent observational trends. While minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate variations could occur, the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around 13°C leaves limited room for outcomes below 12°C or above 14°C on this date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 3?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$20,206 Vol.
$20,206 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$20,206 Vol.
$20,206 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C in London on June 3, underpinning the overwhelming market consensus at this level. Early June climatology shows typical overnight lows near 12–13°C amid a cooling trend driven by a southward-shifting jet stream that has introduced fresher Atlantic air after recent warmer conditions. Model consensus supports stable overnight readings without significant further drops, consistent with seasonal baselines and recent observational trends. While minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate variations could occur, the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around 13°C leaves limited room for outcomes below 12°C or above 14°C on this date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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