Recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 24–27°C in Lucknow on September 10 amid lingering monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and light easterly winds further moderate overnight drops, keeping values above the long-term September average low of roughly 24°C. Trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any clearing or heavier rainfall, which could produce brief radiative cooling windows, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–28°C captures the current consensus range from official forecasts. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?
21°C or below 69%
26°C 40%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
29%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
12%
21°C or below 69%
26°C 40%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
21°C or below
$80 Vol.
69%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$17 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$25 Vol.
39%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 24–27°C in Lucknow on September 10 amid lingering monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and light easterly winds further moderate overnight drops, keeping values above the long-term September average low of roughly 24°C. Trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any clearing or heavier rainfall, which could produce brief radiative cooling windows, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–28°C captures the current consensus range from official forecasts. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$122End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 24–27°C in Lucknow on September 10 amid lingering monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and light easterly winds further moderate overnight drops, keeping values above the long-term September average low of roughly 24°C. Trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any clearing or heavier rainfall, which could produce brief radiative cooling windows, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–28°C captures the current consensus range from official forecasts. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$122End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 24–27°C in Lucknow on September 10 amid lingering monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and light easterly winds further moderate overnight drops, keeping values above the long-term September average low of roughly 24°C. Trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any clearing or heavier rainfall, which could produce brief radiative cooling windows, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–28°C captures the current consensus range from official forecasts. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions