Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities around 37% for both 21°C or below and 31°C or higher as the minimum on September 17 in Lucknow, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight cooling. Lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and partly cloudy conditions with light rain possible per India Meteorological Department forecasts limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and steering winds could allow clearer skies for greater temperature drops. Recent thunderstorms on September 15-16 elevated humidity and kept overnight lows above normal near 26°C, with models showing limited consensus on exact cloud timing. New observational data from the Lucknow airport station and updated short-range forecasts will likely clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 17?
21°C or below 74%
31°C or higher 74%
26°C 40%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
74%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
30%
27°C
24%
28°C
33%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
74%
21°C or below 74%
31°C or higher 74%
26°C 40%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
74%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$5 Vol.
30%
27°C
$5 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
33%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities around 37% for both 21°C or below and 31°C or higher as the minimum on September 17 in Lucknow, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight cooling. Lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and partly cloudy conditions with light rain possible per India Meteorological Department forecasts limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and steering winds could allow clearer skies for greater temperature drops. Recent thunderstorms on September 15-16 elevated humidity and kept overnight lows above normal near 26°C, with models showing limited consensus on exact cloud timing. New observational data from the Lucknow airport station and updated short-range forecasts will likely clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$10End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities around 37% for both 21°C or below and 31°C or higher as the minimum on September 17 in Lucknow, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight cooling. Lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and partly cloudy conditions with light rain possible per India Meteorological Department forecasts limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and steering winds could allow clearer skies for greater temperature drops. Recent thunderstorms on September 15-16 elevated humidity and kept overnight lows above normal near 26°C, with models showing limited consensus on exact cloud timing. New observational data from the Lucknow airport station and updated short-range forecasts will likely clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities around 37% for both 21°C or below and 31°C or higher as the minimum on September 17 in Lucknow, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight cooling. Lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70-80%, and partly cloudy conditions with light rain possible per India Meteorological Department forecasts limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and steering winds could allow clearer skies for greater temperature drops. Recent thunderstorms on September 15-16 elevated humidity and kept overnight lows above normal near 26°C, with models showing limited consensus on exact cloud timing. New observational data from the Lucknow airport station and updated short-range forecasts will likely clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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