Current forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds over Munich on August 30, supporting overnight lows near 16–17 °C with limited radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that could permit localized drops toward 14–15 °C versus persistent mild advection keeping readings above 15 °C, alongside typical August humidity levels near 70 % that moderate temperature swings. Historical climatology shows an average low of 12.6 °C, yet the present pattern favors warmer conditions, creating tight market spreads around the 13–15 °C outcomes as traders weigh model resolution timing and official station measurement thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
15°C 34%
12°C or below 33%
14°C 32%
16°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
33%
13°C
28%
14°C
32%
15°C
34%
16°C
27%
17°C
21%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
15°C 34%
12°C or below 33%
14°C 32%
16°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
33%
13°C
$10 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
32%
15°C
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$17 Vol.
21%
18°C
$5 Vol.
14%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds over Munich on August 30, supporting overnight lows near 16–17 °C with limited radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that could permit localized drops toward 14–15 °C versus persistent mild advection keeping readings above 15 °C, alongside typical August humidity levels near 70 % that moderate temperature swings. Historical climatology shows an average low of 12.6 °C, yet the present pattern favors warmer conditions, creating tight market spreads around the 13–15 °C outcomes as traders weigh model resolution timing and official station measurement thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$52End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds over Munich on August 30, supporting overnight lows near 16–17 °C with limited radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that could permit localized drops toward 14–15 °C versus persistent mild advection keeping readings above 15 °C, alongside typical August humidity levels near 70 % that moderate temperature swings. Historical climatology shows an average low of 12.6 °C, yet the present pattern favors warmer conditions, creating tight market spreads around the 13–15 °C outcomes as traders weigh model resolution timing and official station measurement thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds over Munich on August 30, supporting overnight lows near 16–17 °C with limited radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that could permit localized drops toward 14–15 °C versus persistent mild advection keeping readings above 15 °C, alongside typical August humidity levels near 70 % that moderate temperature swings. Historical climatology shows an average low of 12.6 °C, yet the present pattern favors warmer conditions, creating tight market spreads around the 13–15 °C outcomes as traders weigh model resolution timing and official station measurement thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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