National Weather Service observations from official New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 64-65°F on June 3, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average lows hover near 60°F amid warming Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflects verified instrumental data rather than models, with negligible probability assigned to other ranges due to the absence of cold fronts or anomalous radiative cooling. Unlikely revisions to station records or alternative measurement protocols represent the primary scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare after initial quality-controlled releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 3?
64-65°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$32,972 Vol.
$32,972 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$32,972 Vol.
$32,972 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
49°F or below
$2,846 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$4,448 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$2,539 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$701 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,754 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,180 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,291 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$2,814 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,804 Vol.
Yes
66-67°F
$3,979 Vol.
No
68°F or higher
$6,615 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations from official New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 64-65°F on June 3, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average lows hover near 60°F amid warming Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflects verified instrumental data rather than models, with negligible probability assigned to other ranges due to the absence of cold fronts or anomalous radiative cooling. Unlikely revisions to station records or alternative measurement protocols represent the primary scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare after initial quality-controlled releases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$32,972End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations from official New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 64-65°F on June 3, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average lows hover near 60°F amid warming Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflects verified instrumental data rather than models, with negligible probability assigned to other ranges due to the absence of cold fronts or anomalous radiative cooling. Unlikely revisions to station records or alternative measurement protocols represent the primary scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare after initial quality-controlled releases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,972End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service observations from official New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 64-65°F on June 3, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average lows hover near 60°F amid warming Atlantic air masses and reduced nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflects verified instrumental data rather than models, with negligible probability assigned to other ranges due to the absence of cold fronts or anomalous radiative cooling. Unlikely revisions to station records or alternative measurement protocols represent the primary scenarios that could shift resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare after initial quality-controlled releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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