**Trader consensus around 26–27°C for Shenzhen’s lowest temperature on September 9 reflects tight forecast spreads amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** High humidity near 80–90% and light easterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and isolated showers—driven by monsoon trough influences and sea-breeze effects—create small differences in overnight minima. Model runs show lows clustering near 24–26°C depending on timing of any evening convection, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover around 24–25°C. Recent clear spells on September 8 have kept daytime heat elevated, sustaining elevated dew points that cap how far temperatures can drop before sunrise. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely refine the precise threshold as the overnight period approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
24°C 90%
26°C 47%
23°C 9%
22°C or below 2.9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
90%
25°C
1%
26°C
47%
27°C
48%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 90%
26°C 47%
23°C 9%
22°C or below 2.9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
22°C or below
$164 Vol.
3%
23°C
$54 Vol.
9%
24°C
$20 Vol.
90%
25°C
$32 Vol.
1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
47%
27°C
$21 Vol.
48%
28°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 26–27°C for Shenzhen’s lowest temperature on September 9 reflects tight forecast spreads amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** High humidity near 80–90% and light easterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and isolated showers—driven by monsoon trough influences and sea-breeze effects—create small differences in overnight minima. Model runs show lows clustering near 24–26°C depending on timing of any evening convection, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover around 24–25°C. Recent clear spells on September 8 have kept daytime heat elevated, sustaining elevated dew points that cap how far temperatures can drop before sunrise. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely refine the precise threshold as the overnight period approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,408End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 26–27°C for Shenzhen’s lowest temperature on September 9 reflects tight forecast spreads amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** High humidity near 80–90% and light easterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and isolated showers—driven by monsoon trough influences and sea-breeze effects—create small differences in overnight minima. Model runs show lows clustering near 24–26°C depending on timing of any evening convection, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover around 24–25°C. Recent clear spells on September 8 have kept daytime heat elevated, sustaining elevated dew points that cap how far temperatures can drop before sunrise. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely refine the precise threshold as the overnight period approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,408End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 26–27°C for Shenzhen’s lowest temperature on September 9 reflects tight forecast spreads amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** High humidity near 80–90% and light easterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and isolated showers—driven by monsoon trough influences and sea-breeze effects—create small differences in overnight minima. Model runs show lows clustering near 24–26°C depending on timing of any evening convection, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover around 24–25°C. Recent clear spells on September 8 have kept daytime heat elevated, sustaining elevated dew points that cap how far temperatures can drop before sunrise. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely refine the precise threshold as the overnight period approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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