Forecast models from major agencies point to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Singapore on August 31, driven by typical southwest monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, scattered showers, and light southerly winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and urban heat retention further compress the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows within 1–2°C of the August climatological mean of 25.3°C at Changi. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 26–27°C outcomes because recent model runs show minimal deviation from these baselines, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below reflect the low historical frequency of such extremes outside strong La Niña or unusual squall events. Final resolution awaits official NEA observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 31?
22°C or below 53%
32°C or higher 47%
25°C 42%
27°C 34%
22°C or below
53%
23°C
19%
24°C
25%
25°C
42%
26°C
31%
27°C
34%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
47%
22°C or below 53%
32°C or higher 47%
25°C 42%
27°C 34%
22°C or below
53%
23°C
19%
24°C
25%
25°C
42%
26°C
31%
27°C
34%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major agencies point to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Singapore on August 31, driven by typical southwest monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, scattered showers, and light southerly winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and urban heat retention further compress the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows within 1–2°C of the August climatological mean of 25.3°C at Changi. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 26–27°C outcomes because recent model runs show minimal deviation from these baselines, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below reflect the low historical frequency of such extremes outside strong La Niña or unusual squall events. Final resolution awaits official NEA observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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