**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate the overnight low in Taipei on September 17 will likely settle in the low 20s °C, driven by northeasterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling.** Current conditions on September 16 show daytime highs near 28–30 °C with dew points around 21–23 °C, setting up gradual overnight decline. Official Taiwanese guidance and international ensembles converge on minimums near 22–23 °C, though some runs suggest 21 °C under clearer skies or slightly higher values if clouds thicken less than expected. Historical September averages place typical lows around 24–25 °C, making the current setup cooler than climatology due to persistent onshore flow. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by local stations. New model runs and early-morning observations will refine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 17?
27°C or higher 76%
22°C 33%
23°C 28%
18°C 22%
17°C or below
14%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
19%
21°C
22%
22°C
33%
23°C
28%
24°C
21%
25°C
15%
26°C
14%
27°C or higher
76%
27°C or higher 76%
22°C 33%
23°C 28%
18°C 22%
17°C or below
14%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
19%
21°C
22%
22°C
33%
23°C
28%
24°C
21%
25°C
15%
26°C
14%
27°C or higher
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate the overnight low in Taipei on September 17 will likely settle in the low 20s °C, driven by northeasterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling.** Current conditions on September 16 show daytime highs near 28–30 °C with dew points around 21–23 °C, setting up gradual overnight decline. Official Taiwanese guidance and international ensembles converge on minimums near 22–23 °C, though some runs suggest 21 °C under clearer skies or slightly higher values if clouds thicken less than expected. Historical September averages place typical lows around 24–25 °C, making the current setup cooler than climatology due to persistent onshore flow. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by local stations. New model runs and early-morning observations will refine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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