Recent forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a stable easterly flow over northern Taiwan, with mostly cloudy to overcast skies, light drizzle potential, and moderate humidity suppressing peak heating on September 17. This setup favors daytime maxima near 28–29°C, consistent with recent days under similar northeast winds. Trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes likely reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks or model spread on boundary-layer mixing, which could allow brief warming above the baseline. Historical September averages for Taipei hover around 30–32°C, but persistent marine influence and 60–80% cloud cover this period tilt probabilities toward the lower end of the range. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will clarify any intensification in solar insolation or wind shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on September 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 17?
32°C 32%
31°C 30%
30°C 22%
28°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
17%
29°C
10%
30°C
22%
31°C
30%
32°C
32%
33°C
11%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
31°C 30%
30°C 22%
28°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$5 Vol.
22%
31°C
$3 Vol.
30%
32°C
$0 Vol.
32%
33°C
$4 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a stable easterly flow over northern Taiwan, with mostly cloudy to overcast skies, light drizzle potential, and moderate humidity suppressing peak heating on September 17. This setup favors daytime maxima near 28–29°C, consistent with recent days under similar northeast winds. Trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes likely reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks or model spread on boundary-layer mixing, which could allow brief warming above the baseline. Historical September averages for Taipei hover around 30–32°C, but persistent marine influence and 60–80% cloud cover this period tilt probabilities toward the lower end of the range. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will clarify any intensification in solar insolation or wind shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a stable easterly flow over northern Taiwan, with mostly cloudy to overcast skies, light drizzle potential, and moderate humidity suppressing peak heating on September 17. This setup favors daytime maxima near 28–29°C, consistent with recent days under similar northeast winds. Trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes likely reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks or model spread on boundary-layer mixing, which could allow brief warming above the baseline. Historical September averages for Taipei hover around 30–32°C, but persistent marine influence and 60–80% cloud cover this period tilt probabilities toward the lower end of the range. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will clarify any intensification in solar insolation or wind shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a stable easterly flow over northern Taiwan, with mostly cloudy to overcast skies, light drizzle potential, and moderate humidity suppressing peak heating on September 17. This setup favors daytime maxima near 28–29°C, consistent with recent days under similar northeast winds. Trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes likely reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks or model spread on boundary-layer mixing, which could allow brief warming above the baseline. Historical September averages for Taipei hover around 30–32°C, but persistent marine influence and 60–80% cloud cover this period tilt probabilities toward the lower end of the range. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will clarify any intensification in solar insolation or wind shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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